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What Will My Balcony Solar Kit Actually Produce?

The number on the box is a laboratory figure. A south-facing 800W kit on a real railing delivers around 490W — here is what yours will do.

Realistic output

490W

61% of the 800W on the box

Per year

751

kWh generated

Off your bill

$113

at 15.1¢/kWh

What each direction costs you

An 800W kit, no shade, flat against the railing.

Balcony facesRealistic outputkWh / year
South490W751
Southeast442W678
Southwest442W678
East340W521
West340W521
North190W292

What shade costs you

Same 800W kit, facing south.

ShadingRealistic outputkWh / year
Open sky all day490W751
Clipped morning or late afternoon416W638
A building or tree blocks part of the day343W525
Shaded more often than not245W375

Common questions

Why doesn't my 800W solar kit produce 800 watts?

800W is the panels' rating under laboratory conditions: perfect perpendicular light, 25°C, brand new and clean. A real balcony panel hangs vertically rather than tilted to the sun, loses some output to inverter conversion and heat, and only sees full sun for part of the day. Around half the rated figure is normal for a south-facing railing mount.

Does a north-facing balcony make solar pointless?

Not pointless, but marginal. A north-facing vertical panel produces roughly a quarter of what the same panel does facing south, which usually pushes payback past the life of the equipment. A smaller, cheaper kit is the sensible move if you want one anyway.

Is it worth tilting the panels?

Yes, where the railing allows it. A tilted bracket typically recovers 15 to 20 percent over a flat vertical mount, because the panel sees the sun closer to head-on for more of the day.

How much does shade actually cost me?

More than most people expect, because panels within a string drag each other down. A balcony that loses part of the day to a neighbouring building can give up 30 percent; heavy shade halves the output.

How this is worked out

Output is the panel rating multiplied by an orientation factor for a vertical railing mount, a shading factor, and a 0.85 system derate covering inverter conversion, wiring, heat and dust — the standard PVWatts assumption. Annual kWh uses 4.2 peak sun hours a day, a US average.

That national average is the biggest simplification here. Real peak sun hours run from roughly 3.5 in the Pacific Northwest to 5.7 in the desert Southwest, so treat the annual figure as a range rather than a promise. The orientation and shading comparisons hold either way.